Abstract:In order to study the forecasting method of passenger flow in large theme parks, taking the passenger flow forecast of Xi'an Children's World Park as an example, the basic analysis method of passenger flow forecasting in large theme park is proposed. The spatial distribution characteristics of passenger flow are analyzed from three factors of population, economy and traffic by starting from the prediction of overall scale if regional tourist market. The market penetration indicators closely related to the product characteristics are introduced to forecast the total annual passenger flow of theme park.