基于FAHP-TOPSIS的危险品道路运输风险评价研究

Assessment and Research on Road Transport Risk of Dangerous Goods Based on FAHP-TOPSIS

摘要:

为有效评估危险品道路运输的风险，完善运输风险评价指标体系，提出一种基于FAHP-TOPSIS的风险评价方法。依据危险品道路运输的特点，在车辆因素中引入车辆性能与使用年限、车龄等指标，构建危险品运输风险评价指标体系；通过FAHP法获取指标权重，结合TOPSIS法计算实际情况与最优、最劣理想解之间的距离，以此对运输风险等级进行评价，提高评价结果的准确性与客观性。以某液氮运输企业为例，用FAHP-TOPSIS法对该企业的运输风险进行评价。结果表明：所评估企业的运输风险等级为一般风险，且人员因素和环境因素对运输风险的影响程度较大，应对其进行重点防控。

Abstract:

In order to effectively assess the road transport risk of dangerous goods and improve the transport risk assessment index system, a risk assessment method based on FAHP-TOPSIS is proposed. Based on the characteristics of road transport of dangerous goods, the vehicle performance and service life, vehicle age and other indicators are introduced into the vehicle factors to establish the transport risk assessment index system of dangerous goods. The weights of the indicators are obtained through the FAHP method. Combined with TOPSIS method, the distance between the actual situation and the optimal and worst ideal solution is calculated to assess the transport risk level and to improve the accuracy and objectivity of the assessment results. Taking a liquid nitrogen transport enterprise as an example, the FAHP-TOPSIS method is used to assess the transport risk of this enterprise. The results show that the transport risk level of this enterprise is a general risk, and the influence of personnel and environmental factors on the transport risk is larger. Therefore, the focus should be on prevention and control.